Caleb Williams
Career: 39 games671 PPR pts2026: QB23 (23rd of 61, PPR)
Weather & location splits
Points per game in each situation against the overall average, with sample sizes.
Home / away
Home
player's team at home
17.9PPR / game
+0.7 vs 17.2 overall
19 games · 252 yds/g
+7% points at home, TDs +8%, interceptions −8% (strong)
Away
player's team on the road
16.5PPR / game
-0.7 vs 17.2 overall
20 games · 250 yds/g
−7% points on the road (mirror of the home edge)
Weather
Indoors
dome or closed roof
13.6PPR / game
-3.6 vs 17.2 overall
8 games · 247 yds/g
+5% indoors: completion rate +1.5 pts, interceptions −9% (moderate)
Hot
>=80F
29.1PPR / game
+11.9 vs 17.2 overall
1 game · 310 yds/g · small sample
no effect above 80°F
Cold
<35F
18.6PPR / game
+1.4 vs 17.2 overall
7 games · 251 yds/g · small sample
no cold effect once December games are controlled for
Windy
>=15 mph
17.6PPR / game
+0.4 vs 17.2 overall
6 games · 243 yds/g · small sample
passing yards −6% at 15+ mph; points not significant
Wet
>=0.05 in precip (rain or snow)
–
No games
rain: −10% points, completion rate −3 pts (strong)
Snow
snow, sleet or freezing rain observed
25.1PPR / game
+7.9 vs 17.2 overall
1 game · 283 yds/g · small sample
too few snow games league-wide to say; QB rushing yards +43% in them
The line at the bottom of each card is the league-wide pattern for QBs (starters, 2005–25, each player vs. his own other games), for context against this player's own numbers.
Weather is the observation at the stadium's nearest NOAA station in the kickoff hour. Splits under 8 games are shown faded: a couple of blowouts move them a lot. Cold, windy and snowy games are also disproportionately late-season, at home in northern stadiums, and against specific opponents, so a difference here is a starting point, not a cause.