FFSharps

Jayden Daniels

QBWashington Commanders2024–20266'4", 210 lbage 25LSU; Arizona State
2024 draft, round 1 pick 2 (WAS)
Career: 29 games571 PPR pts2026: QB21 (21st of 61, PPR)

Weather & location splits

Points per game in each situation against the overall average, with sample sizes.

Home / away

Home

player's team at home

21.3PPR / game

+1.6 vs 19.7 overall
14 games · 273 yds/g
+7% points at home, TDs +8%, interceptions −8% (strong)

Away

player's team on the road

18.2PPR / game

-1.5 vs 19.7 overall
15 games · 226 yds/g
−7% points on the road (mirror of the home edge)

Weather

Indoors

dome or closed roof

14.9PPR / game

-4.8 vs 19.7 overall
6 games · 199 yds/g · small sample
+5% indoors: completion rate +1.5 pts, interceptions −9% (moderate)

Hot

>=80F

20.1PPR / game

+0.4 vs 19.7 overall
4 games · 257 yds/g · small sample
no effect above 80°F

Cold

<35F

34.4PPR / game

+14.7 vs 19.7 overall
1 game · 339 yds/g · small sample
no cold effect once December games are controlled for

Windy

>=15 mph

21.6PPR / game

+2.0 vs 19.7 overall
1 game · 263 yds/g · small sample
passing yards −6% at 15+ mph; points not significant

Wet

>=0.05 in precip (rain or snow)

–

No games
rain: −10% points, completion rate −3 pts (strong)

Snow

snow, sleet or freezing rain observed

–

No games
too few snow games league-wide to say; QB rushing yards +43% in them

The line at the bottom of each card is the league-wide pattern for QBs (starters, 2005–25, each player vs. his own other games), for context against this player's own numbers.

Weather is the observation at the stadium's nearest NOAA station in the kickoff hour. Splits under 8 games are shown faded: a couple of blowouts move them a lot. Cold, windy and snowy games are also disproportionately late-season, at home in northern stadiums, and against specific opponents, so a difference here is a starting point, not a cause.