FFSharps

Brian Thomas Jr.

WRJacksonville Jaguars2024–20266'2", 209 lbage 24LSU
2024 draft, round 1 pick 23 (JAX)
Career: 38 games457 PPR pts2026: WR87 (87th of 217, PPR)

Weather & location splits

Points per game in each situation against the overall average, with sample sizes.

Home / away

Home

player's team at home

12.4PPR / game

+0.4 vs 12.0 overall
21 games · 58 yds/g
no home edge for receivers (+1%, targets slightly down)

Away

player's team on the road

11.5PPR / game

-0.5 vs 12.0 overall
17 games · 56 yds/g
no road penalty for receivers

Weather

Indoors

dome or closed roof

16.2PPR / game

+4.2 vs 12.0 overall
6 games · 86 yds/g · small sample
+7% indoors, receiving yards +7% (strong)

Hot

>=80F

11.5PPR / game

-0.5 vs 12.0 overall
4 games · 53 yds/g · small sample
+0.7 pts/g above 80°F (weak)

Cold

<35F

–

No games
−7% points below 35°F, receptions −7% (strong, survives the late-season control)

Windy

>=15 mph

–

No games
receiving yards −8% at 15+ mph (strong); −1.6 pts/g late season

Wet

>=0.05 in precip (rain or snow)

14.9PPR / game

+2.9 vs 12.0 overall
3 games · 72 yds/g · small sample
rain: −7% points, receptions −7%, yards −9% (strong)

Snow

snow, sleet or freezing rain observed

–

No games
too few snow games to say; trend is −6%

The line at the bottom of each card is the league-wide pattern for WRs (starters, 2005–25, each player vs. his own other games), for context against this player's own numbers.

Weather is the observation at the stadium's nearest NOAA station in the kickoff hour. Splits under 8 games are shown faded: a couple of blowouts move them a lot. Cold, windy and snowy games are also disproportionately late-season, at home in northern stadiums, and against specific opponents, so a difference here is a starting point, not a cause.