FFSharps

Bo Nix

QBDenver Broncos2024–20266'2", 217 lbage 26Oregon; Auburn
2024 draft, round 1 pick 12 (DEN)
Career: 42 games737 PPR pts2026: QB18 (18th of 61, PPR)

Weather & location splits

Points per game in each situation against the overall average, with sample sizes.

Home / away

Home

player's team at home

19.1PPR / game

+1.6 vs 17.6 overall
21 games · 258 yds/g
+7% points at home, TDs +8%, interceptions −8% (strong)

Away

player's team on the road

16.0PPR / game

-1.6 vs 17.6 overall
21 games · 223 yds/g
−7% points on the road (mirror of the home edge)

Weather

Indoors

dome or closed roof

16.3PPR / game

-1.2 vs 17.6 overall
8 games · 223 yds/g
+5% indoors: completion rate +1.5 pts, interceptions −9% (moderate)

Hot

>=80F

13.1PPR / game

-4.5 vs 17.6 overall
4 games · 248 yds/g · small sample
no effect above 80°F

Cold

<35F

33.5PPR / game

+16.0 vs 17.6 overall
1 game · 368 yds/g · small sample
no cold effect once December games are controlled for

Windy

>=15 mph

9.7PPR / game

-7.9 vs 17.6 overall
2 games · 151 yds/g · small sample
passing yards −6% at 15+ mph; points not significant

Wet

>=0.05 in precip (rain or snow)

6.7PPR / game

-10.9 vs 17.6 overall
1 game · 63 yds/g · small sample
rain: −10% points, completion rate −3 pts (strong)

Snow

snow, sleet or freezing rain observed

–

No games
too few snow games league-wide to say; QB rushing yards +43% in them

The line at the bottom of each card is the league-wide pattern for QBs (starters, 2005–25, each player vs. his own other games), for context against this player's own numbers.

Weather is the observation at the stadium's nearest NOAA station in the kickoff hour. Splits under 8 games are shown faded: a couple of blowouts move them a lot. Cold, windy and snowy games are also disproportionately late-season, at home in northern stadiums, and against specific opponents, so a difference here is a starting point, not a cause.