FFSharps

Josh Downs

WRIndianapolis Colts2023–20265'9", 171 lbage 25North Carolina
2023 draft, round 3 pick 79 (IND)
Career: 55 games549 PPR pts2026: WR40 (40th of 217, PPR)

Weather & location splits

Points per game in each situation against the overall average, with sample sizes.

Home / away

Home

player's team at home

10.1PPR / game

+0.2 vs 10.0 overall
28 games · 50 yds/g
no home edge for receivers (+1%, targets slightly down)

Away

player's team on the road

9.8PPR / game

-0.2 vs 10.0 overall
27 games · 41 yds/g
no road penalty for receivers

Weather

Indoors

dome or closed roof

9.9PPR / game

-0.1 vs 10.0 overall
28 games · 46 yds/g
+7% indoors, receiving yards +7% (strong)

Hot

>=80F

9.5PPR / game

-0.5 vs 10.0 overall
4 games · 43 yds/g · small sample
+0.7 pts/g above 80°F (weak)

Cold

<35F

–

No games
−7% points below 35°F, receptions −7% (strong, survives the late-season control)

Windy

>=15 mph

6.2PPR / game

-3.8 vs 10.0 overall
1 game · 32 yds/g · small sample
receiving yards −8% at 15+ mph (strong); −1.6 pts/g late season

Wet

>=0.05 in precip (rain or snow)

6.3PPR / game

-3.7 vs 10.0 overall
1 game · 23 yds/g · small sample
rain: −7% points, receptions −7%, yards −9% (strong)

Snow

snow, sleet or freezing rain observed

–

No games
too few snow games to say; trend is −6%

The line at the bottom of each card is the league-wide pattern for WRs (starters, 2005–25, each player vs. his own other games), for context against this player's own numbers.

Weather is the observation at the stadium's nearest NOAA station in the kickoff hour. Splits under 8 games are shown faded: a couple of blowouts move them a lot. Cold, windy and snowy games are also disproportionately late-season, at home in northern stadiums, and against specific opponents, so a difference here is a starting point, not a cause.