FFSharps

Nico Collins

WRHouston Texans2021–20266'4", 222 lbage 27Michigan
2021 draft, round 3 pick 89 (HOU)
Career: 71 games954 PPR pts2026: WR34 (34th of 217, PPR)

Weather & location splits

Points per game in each situation against the overall average, with sample sizes.

Home / away

Home

player's team at home

15.6PPR / game

+2.2 vs 13.4 overall
36 games · 73 yds/g
no home edge for receivers (+1%, targets slightly down)

Away

player's team on the road

11.2PPR / game

-2.2 vs 13.4 overall
35 games · 59 yds/g
no road penalty for receivers

Weather

Indoors

dome or closed roof

14.2PPR / game

+0.7 vs 13.4 overall
39 games · 71 yds/g
+7% indoors, receiving yards +7% (strong)

Hot

>=80F

15.9PPR / game

+2.4 vs 13.4 overall
9 games · 81 yds/g
+0.7 pts/g above 80°F (weak)

Cold

<35F

16.1PPR / game

+2.7 vs 13.4 overall
1 game · 121 yds/g · small sample
−7% points below 35°F, receptions −7% (strong, survives the late-season control)

Windy

>=15 mph

20.6PPR / game

+7.2 vs 13.4 overall
2 games · 97 yds/g · small sample
receiving yards −8% at 15+ mph (strong); −1.6 pts/g late season

Wet

>=0.05 in precip (rain or snow)

5.6PPR / game

-7.8 vs 13.4 overall
4 games · 19 yds/g · small sample
rain: −7% points, receptions −7%, yards −9% (strong)

Snow

snow, sleet or freezing rain observed

–

No games
too few snow games to say; trend is −6%

The line at the bottom of each card is the league-wide pattern for WRs (starters, 2005–25, each player vs. his own other games), for context against this player's own numbers.

Weather is the observation at the stadium's nearest NOAA station in the kickoff hour. Splits under 8 games are shown faded: a couple of blowouts move them a lot. Cold, windy and snowy games are also disproportionately late-season, at home in northern stadiums, and against specific opponents, so a difference here is a starting point, not a cause.