Justin Jefferson
Career: 100 games1781 PPR pts2026: WR24 (24th of 217, PPR)
Weather & location splits
Points per game in each situation against the overall average, with sample sizes.
Home / away
Home
player's team at home
19.5PPR / game
+1.7 vs 17.8 overall
49 games · 96 yds/g
no home edge for receivers (+1%, targets slightly down)
Away
player's team on the road
16.2PPR / game
-1.6 vs 17.8 overall
51 games · 83 yds/g
no road penalty for receivers
Weather
Indoors
dome or closed roof
19.2PPR / game
+1.4 vs 17.8 overall
65 games · 95 yds/g
+7% indoors, receiving yards +7% (strong)
Hot
>=80F
18.6PPR / game
+0.8 vs 17.8 overall
3 games · 91 yds/g · small sample
+0.7 pts/g above 80°F (weak)
Cold
<35F
9.8PPR / game
-8.0 vs 17.8 overall
2 games · 48 yds/g · small sample
−7% points below 35°F, receptions −7% (strong, survives the late-season control)
Windy
>=15 mph
11.7PPR / game
-6.1 vs 17.8 overall
4 games · 67 yds/g · small sample
receiving yards −8% at 15+ mph (strong); −1.6 pts/g late season
Wet
>=0.05 in precip (rain or snow)
5.3PPR / game
-12.5 vs 17.8 overall
1 game · 23 yds/g · small sample
rain: −7% points, receptions −7%, yards −9% (strong)
Snow
snow, sleet or freezing rain observed
35.3PPR / game
+17.5 vs 17.8 overall
1 game · 193 yds/g · small sample
too few snow games to say; trend is −6%
The line at the bottom of each card is the league-wide pattern for WRs (starters, 2005–25, each player vs. his own other games), for context against this player's own numbers.
Weather is the observation at the stadium's nearest NOAA station in the kickoff hour. Splits under 8 games are shown faded: a couple of blowouts move them a lot. Cold, windy and snowy games are also disproportionately late-season, at home in northern stadiums, and against specific opponents, so a difference here is a starting point, not a cause.