FFSharps

Josh Allen

QBBuffalo Bills2018–20266'5", 237 lbage 30Wyoming; Reedley
2018 draft, round 1 pick 7 (BUF)
Career: 133 games3014 PPR pts2026: QB1 (1st of 61, PPR)

Weather & location splits

Points per game in each situation against the overall average, with sample sizes.

Home / away

Home

player's team at home

22.7PPR / game

+0.0 vs 22.7 overall
68 games · 265 yds/g
+7% points at home, TDs +8%, interceptions −8% (strong)

Away

player's team on the road

22.6PPR / game

-0.0 vs 22.7 overall
65 games · 290 yds/g
−7% points on the road (mirror of the home edge)

Weather

Indoors

dome or closed roof

24.4PPR / game

+1.7 vs 22.7 overall
19 games · 290 yds/g
+5% indoors: completion rate +1.5 pts, interceptions −9% (moderate)

Hot

>=80F

20.7PPR / game

-1.9 vs 22.7 overall
12 games · 293 yds/g
no effect above 80°F

Cold

<35F

22.0PPR / game

-0.7 vs 22.7 overall
20 games · 237 yds/g
no cold effect once December games are controlled for

Windy

>=15 mph

22.3PPR / game

-0.3 vs 22.7 overall
22 games · 273 yds/g
passing yards −6% at 15+ mph; points not significant

Wet

>=0.05 in precip (rain or snow)

20.4PPR / game

-2.3 vs 22.7 overall
14 games · 251 yds/g
rain: −10% points, completion rate −3 pts (strong)

Snow

snow, sleet or freezing rain observed

27.5PPR / game

+4.9 vs 22.7 overall
10 games · 281 yds/g
too few snow games league-wide to say; QB rushing yards +43% in them

The line at the bottom of each card is the league-wide pattern for QBs (starters, 2005–25, each player vs. his own other games), for context against this player's own numbers.

Weather is the observation at the stadium's nearest NOAA station in the kickoff hour. Splits under 8 games are shown faded: a couple of blowouts move them a lot. Cold, windy and snowy games are also disproportionately late-season, at home in northern stadiums, and against specific opponents, so a difference here is a starting point, not a cause.