FFSharps

Baker Mayfield

QBTampa Bay Buccaneers2018–20266'1", 215 lbage 31Oklahoma; Texas Tech
2018 draft, round 1 pick 1 (CLE)
Career: 128 games1975 PPR pts2026: QB33 (33rd of 61, PPR)

Weather & location splits

Points per game in each situation against the overall average, with sample sizes.

Home / away

Home

player's team at home

15.7PPR / game

+0.2 vs 15.4 overall
63 games · 245 yds/g
+7% points at home, TDs +8%, interceptions −8% (strong)

Away

player's team on the road

15.2PPR / game

-0.2 vs 15.4 overall
65 games · 238 yds/g
−7% points on the road (mirror of the home edge)

Weather

Indoors

dome or closed roof

16.7PPR / game

+1.3 vs 15.4 overall
23 games · 233 yds/g
+5% indoors: completion rate +1.5 pts, interceptions −9% (moderate)

Hot

>=80F

16.3PPR / game

+0.8 vs 15.4 overall
22 games · 254 yds/g
no effect above 80°F

Cold

<35F

14.7PPR / game

-0.8 vs 15.4 overall
5 games · 230 yds/g · small sample
no cold effect once December games are controlled for

Windy

>=15 mph

13.6PPR / game

-1.9 vs 15.4 overall
12 games · 213 yds/g
passing yards −6% at 15+ mph; points not significant

Wet

>=0.05 in precip (rain or snow)

10.6PPR / game

-4.9 vs 15.4 overall
5 games · 205 yds/g · small sample
rain: −10% points, completion rate −3 pts (strong)

Snow

snow, sleet or freezing rain observed

11.7PPR / game

-3.8 vs 15.4 overall
2 games · 162 yds/g · small sample
too few snow games league-wide to say; QB rushing yards +43% in them

The line at the bottom of each card is the league-wide pattern for QBs (starters, 2005–25, each player vs. his own other games), for context against this player's own numbers.

Weather is the observation at the stadium's nearest NOAA station in the kickoff hour. Splits under 8 games are shown faded: a couple of blowouts move them a lot. Cold, windy and snowy games are also disproportionately late-season, at home in northern stadiums, and against specific opponents, so a difference here is a starting point, not a cause.