Patrick Mahomes
Career: 133 games2842 PPR pts2026: QB14 (14th of 61, PPR)
Weather & location splits
Points per game in each situation against the overall average, with sample sizes.
Home / away
Home
player's team at home
20.8PPR / game
-0.6 vs 21.4 overall
66 games · 298 yds/g
+7% points at home, TDs +8%, interceptions −8% (strong)
Away
player's team on the road
22.0PPR / game
+0.6 vs 21.4 overall
67 games · 310 yds/g
−7% points on the road (mirror of the home edge)
Weather
Indoors
dome or closed roof
23.8PPR / game
+2.5 vs 21.4 overall
18 games · 319 yds/g
+5% indoors: completion rate +1.5 pts, interceptions −9% (moderate)
Hot
>=80F
23.7PPR / game
+2.3 vs 21.4 overall
16 games · 298 yds/g
no effect above 80°F
Cold
<35F
14.8PPR / game
-6.5 vs 21.4 overall
13 games · 249 yds/g
no cold effect once December games are controlled for
Windy
>=15 mph
17.8PPR / game
-3.6 vs 21.4 overall
10 games · 255 yds/g
passing yards −6% at 15+ mph; points not significant
Wet
>=0.05 in precip (rain or snow)
20.8PPR / game
-0.6 vs 21.4 overall
3 games · 315 yds/g · small sample
rain: −10% points, completion rate −3 pts (strong)
Snow
snow, sleet or freezing rain observed
12.7PPR / game
-8.7 vs 21.4 overall
4 games · 276 yds/g · small sample
too few snow games league-wide to say; QB rushing yards +43% in them
The line at the bottom of each card is the league-wide pattern for QBs (starters, 2005–25, each player vs. his own other games), for context against this player's own numbers.
Weather is the observation at the stadium's nearest NOAA station in the kickoff hour. Splits under 8 games are shown faded: a couple of blowouts move them a lot. Cold, windy and snowy games are also disproportionately late-season, at home in northern stadiums, and against specific opponents, so a difference here is a starting point, not a cause.