Aaron Jones
Career: 131 games1878 PPR pts2026: RB23 (23rd of 146, PPR)
Weather & location splits
Points per game in each situation against the overall average, with sample sizes.
Home / away
Home
player's team at home
15.3PPR / game
+0.9 vs 14.3 overall
65 games · 85 yds/g
+7% points at home, touchdowns +14% (strong)
Away
player's team on the road
13.4PPR / game
-0.9 vs 14.3 overall
66 games · 81 yds/g
−7% on the road, fewer touchdowns
Weather
Indoors
dome or closed roof
14.1PPR / game
-0.3 vs 14.3 overall
37 games · 84 yds/g
+3% indoors (weak)
Hot
>=80F
9.5PPR / game
-4.9 vs 14.3 overall
4 games · 55 yds/g · small sample
−10% points above 80°F (strong) — the biggest weather effect on RBs
Cold
<35F
14.5PPR / game
+0.2 vs 14.3 overall
23 games · 84 yds/g
points flat below 35°F; carries +7%, rushing yards +10% — more work, same score
Windy
>=15 mph
11.6PPR / game
-2.7 vs 14.3 overall
6 games · 65 yds/g · small sample
carries +6%, rushing yards +8% at 15+ mph; points flat
Wet
>=0.05 in precip (rain or snow)
5.0PPR / game
-9.3 vs 14.3 overall
3 games · 30 yds/g · small sample
rain: no effect — carries and yards unchanged
Snow
snow, sleet or freezing rain observed
16.2PPR / game
+1.8 vs 14.3 overall
6 games · 78 yds/g · small sample
too few snow games to say; carries +11%, TDs +42% in them — offences run
The line at the bottom of each card is the league-wide pattern for RBs (starters, 2005–25, each player vs. his own other games), for context against this player's own numbers.
Weather is the observation at the stadium's nearest NOAA station in the kickoff hour. Splits under 8 games are shown faded: a couple of blowouts move them a lot. Cold, windy and snowy games are also disproportionately late-season, at home in northern stadiums, and against specific opponents, so a difference here is a starting point, not a cause.