Matthew Stafford
Career: 247 games4190 PPR pts2026: QB10 (10th of 61, PPR)
Weather & location splits
Points per game in each situation against the overall average, with sample sizes.
Home / away
Home
player's team at home
17.9PPR / game
+0.9 vs 17.0 overall
125 games · 280 yds/g
+7% points at home, TDs +8%, interceptions −8% (strong)
Away
player's team on the road
16.0PPR / game
-1.0 vs 17.0 overall
122 games · 271 yds/g
−7% points on the road (mirror of the home edge)
Weather
Indoors
dome or closed roof
17.3PPR / game
+0.3 vs 17.0 overall
163 games · 275 yds/g
+5% indoors: completion rate +1.5 pts, interceptions −9% (moderate)
Hot
>=80F
16.0PPR / game
-1.0 vs 17.0 overall
10 games · 259 yds/g
no effect above 80°F
Cold
<35F
19.7PPR / game
+2.8 vs 17.0 overall
9 games · 281 yds/g
no cold effect once December games are controlled for
Windy
>=15 mph
19.6PPR / game
+2.6 vs 17.0 overall
10 games · 322 yds/g
passing yards −6% at 15+ mph; points not significant
Wet
>=0.05 in precip (rain or snow)
12.0PPR / game
-4.9 vs 17.0 overall
6 games · 239 yds/g · small sample
rain: −10% points, completion rate −3 pts (strong)
Snow
snow, sleet or freezing rain observed
16.5PPR / game
-0.5 vs 17.0 overall
3 games · 275 yds/g · small sample
too few snow games league-wide to say; QB rushing yards +43% in them
The line at the bottom of each card is the league-wide pattern for QBs (starters, 2005–25, each player vs. his own other games), for context against this player's own numbers.
Weather is the observation at the stadium's nearest NOAA station in the kickoff hour. Splits under 8 games are shown faded: a couple of blowouts move them a lot. Cold, windy and snowy games are also disproportionately late-season, at home in northern stadiums, and against specific opponents, so a difference here is a starting point, not a cause.